ISDA®
INTERNATIONAL
SWAPS AND DERIVATIVES ASSOCIATION, INC.
NEWS RELEASE
For Immediate
Release, Wednesday, September 24, 2008
For More
Information, Please Contact:
Louise Marshall, ISDA New York, 212-901-6014, lmarshall@isda.org
Cesaltine Gregorio, ISDA New York, 212-901-6019, cgregorio@isda.org
Donna Chan,
ISDA Hong Kong, 852 2200 5906, dchan@isda.org
ISDA Mid-Year 2008 Market Survey
Shows Credit Derivatives at $54.6 Trillion
"The derivatives business overall showed consistent growth
over the first half of 2008, but what we are beginning to see in credit
derivatives is a downturn in the notional volumes - the total amount of trades
that are outstanding," said
According to the
Survey, notional amount outstanding of credit derivatives decreased by 12
percent in the first six months of the year to $54.6 trillion from $62.2
trillion, but the annual growth for credit derivatives was 20 percent from
$45.5 trillion at mid-year 2007. For the purposes of the Survey, credit
derivatives comprise credit default swaps referencing single names, indexes,
baskets, and portfolios.
Notional amount
outstanding of interest rate derivatives, which include interest rate swaps and
options and cross-currency swaps, grew by 22 percent to $464.7 trillion from
$382.3 trillion. This compares with 10 percent growth from $347.1 trillion during
the second half of 2007. The annual growth rate for interest rate derivatives
to mid-2008 is 34 percent to $464.7 trillion from $347.1
trillion in mid-2007.
Notional amount
outstanding of equity derivatives, which consist of equity swaps, options, and
forwards, grew by 19 percent to $11.9 trillion from $10.0 trillion. This compares
with a relatively flat percent growth rate during the second half of 2007. The
annual growth rate for equity derivatives to mid-2008 is 19 percent to $11.9
trillion from $10.0 trillion at mid-year 2007.
The above notional amounts, which
total $531.2 trillion across asset classes, are an approximate measure of
derivatives activity, and reflect both new transactions and existing transactions.
The amounts, however, are a measure of activity, not a measure of risk. The
Bank for International Settlements (BIS) collects both notional amounts and
market values in its derivatives statistics and it is possible to use the BIS
statistics to determine the amount at risk in the ISDA survey results.
As of December 2007, gross
mark-to-market value of all derivatives was approximately 2.4 percent of
notional amount outstanding. In addition, net credit exposure (after netting
but before collateral) is 0.5 percent of notional amount outstanding. Applying
these percentages to the total ISDA Market Survey notional amount outstanding
of $531.2 trillion as of June 30, 2008, gross credit exposure before netting is
estimated to be $12.7 trillion and credit exposure after netting, but before
collateral, is estimated to be $2.7 trillion.
The ISDA Mid-Year 2008 Market Survey reports notional amounts
outstanding for the interest rate derivatives, credit default swaps, and
over-the-counter equity derivatives as of June 30, 2008. All notional
amounts have been adjusted for double counting of inter-dealer transactions.
ISDA surveys its Primary Membership twice yearly on a confidential basis. In
this survey, 79 firms provided data on interest rate swaps; 69 provided responses
on credit derivatives; and 68 provided responses on equity derivatives.
Although participation in the Survey is voluntary, all major derivatives houses
provided responses.
About ISDA
ISDA, which represents participants in the privately negotiated derivatives industry, is among the world’s largest global financial trade associations as measured by number of member firms. ISDA was chartered in 1985, and today has approximately 850 member institutions from 56 countries on six continents. These members include most of the world’s major institutions that deal in privately negotiated derivatives, as well as many of the businesses, governmental entities and other end users that rely on over-the-counter derivatives to manage efficiently the financial market risks inherent in their core economic activities. Information about ISDA and its activities is available on the Association's web site: www.isda.org.
®ISDA is a registered trademark of the International Swaps & Derivatives Association, Inc.