Twice a year, the International Swaps and Derivatives Association (ISDA) analyzes interest rate derivatives notional outstanding data reported by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) in order to illuminate market trends. The bank’s most recent analysis was released in May 2016.
The BIS publicly reported data is impacted in important ways by two key marketplace trends: clearing, which increases notionals; and compression, which reduces them. ISDA’s analysis adjusts reported notional outstanding figures for these factors in order to provide a clearer estimate of derivatives market trends. For example, although public data indicates a decrease inderivatives outstanding during the second half of 2015, ISDA’s analysis reveals on an adjusted basis that the size of the market increased at year-end 2015 compared to six months earlier.
It is important to note that risk metrics associated with derivatives (such as the amount of risk being transferred, the payments that are exchanged between parties, or the maximum loss that would be incurred should every derivatives contract be closed out) cannot be conveyed through notional figures.
Documents (1) for Derivatives Market Analysis: Interest Rate Derivatives
Latest
ISDA Response on Common Carbon Data Model
On August 12, ISDA responded to a consultation from the Climate Data Steering Committee (CDSC) on a Common Carbon Credit Data Model. ISDA members believe the Group-of-20 carbon data model initiative is a positive step in addressing data gaps and...
Joint Response on RBA Consultation
On August 11, ISDA and FIA submitted a joint response to the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) on its consultation on guidance for Australia’s clearing and settlement facility resolution regime. The associations welcome publication of the draft guidance, which provides...
SwapsInfo H1 2025 and Q2 2025
Interest rate derivatives (IRD) trading activity increased in the first half of 2025, driven by continued interest rate volatility, evolving central bank policy expectations and persistent macroeconomic uncertainty. Trading in index credit derivatives also rose, as market participants responded to...
ISDA Response to IFSCA Consultation
On August 5, ISDA responded to the International Financial Services Centres Authority’s (IFSCA) consultation on reporting and clearing of over-the-counter (OTC) derivatives contracts booked in International Financial Services Centres (IFSC). In the response, ISDA provided the following recommendations: Not mandating...