Climate scenario analysis has become a central focus for banks and financial institutions, with regulatory expectations becoming more stringent and firms required to understand and assess both short- and long-term financial risks associated with climate change.
Publication of this Phase II paper follows the development of a conceptual framework published by ISDA in 2023 to identify the main building blocks needed to develop climate risk scenarios for the trading book.
During the second half of 2023, ISDA tested the framework in collaboration with more than 30 member banks and developed three climate scenarios (physical, transition and combined). The output of this initiative includes a detailed set of scenario parameters covering a range of market risk factors, including country and sectors.
Click on the attached PDF to read the full report.
Documents (2) for Climate Scenario Analysis in the Trading Book – Phase II
Latest
The CPI Quandary
The recent US government shutdown didn’t just create weeks of political drama – it also left inflation-linked swaps dealers with a major headache: how should they determine an initial value for new trades given the US Bureau of Labor Statistics...
ISDA Response to HMT, BoE on UK CCPs
On November 18, ISDA submitted its responses to the Bank of England (BoE) consultation on ensuring the resilience of central counterparties (CCPs) and the UK Treasury’s (HMT) two draft CCP statutory instruments (SIs). These consultations form part of the update...
Doubling Down on Appropriate Trading Book Capital
Throughout ISDA’s 40th anniversary year, we’ve been reflecting on the quest for greater consistency and efficiency that underpins everything we’ve achieved since 1985. It was at the heart of the original efforts to bring greater standardization to the nascent derivatives...
Determining Initial Reference Index for New Trades
On November 25, 2025, ISDA published a Market Practice Note (MPN) to recommend a specific methodology that market participants could elect to use for the purposes of determining the Initial Reference Index for certain new inflation derivative transactions given that...